Monday, March 8, 2010
All predictions are wrong, some are just spectacularly so
For those who make claims about what life will be like in forty years, especially those who expect things like high speed rail to compete favorably with other modes, here's a reminder how little we knew in 1968 about what transportation in 2008 would be like from a Mechanix Illustrated issue. In many ways the predictions are close, such as high speed travel in cars and spread out cities. Obviously this was a piece meant to generate buzz rather than knowingly see into the future, but that's the nature of predictions. We simply don't know what life will be like in 40 years.
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According to page 6 of that article, by now there should be a "Magic Mail Plan" that will allow me to make $12/hr!
Sadly, I'm still waiting.
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