tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7350606083613108606.post2394074877148965725..comments2024-03-26T00:35:17.633-07:00Comments on Getting from here to there: If Your Forecasts are Always Wrong, Should You Stop Making Forecasts?Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15652887148371033287noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7350606083613108606.post-68546995023322207712021-02-01T02:57:29.522-08:002021-02-01T02:57:29.522-08:00Thank you giving Good Information via this Blog
...Thank you giving Good Information via this Blog <br /><br />Carmellimo is one of the best New York Limousines service in the US, We offer World-class NYC Airport Limousine vehicles or New York Limo for promos, parties, sports, events, birthdays, theaters, parties, and any special occasions safely at pandemic. <br /><br /><a href="https://www.carmellimo.com" rel="nofollow"> carmellimo </a><br /><br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15475979313304086417noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7350606083613108606.post-54840374633450766322011-12-19T08:41:01.899-08:002011-12-19T08:41:01.899-08:00@ShammeeSJ: Government policies, the economy, and ...@ShammeeSJ: Government policies, the economy, and people's choices are also a little whimsical. No one, for example, predicted the great recession. MTC in the bay area has revised their growth forecasts in light of recent trends so that the lowest income groups comprise a greater proportion of the total population in 2035 than they do currently.<br /><br />It seems that long-range transportation forecasting can be useful for identifying tradeoffs between projects - anything more precise than this is a worthless exercise. Compliance with California's statewide greenhouse gas targets resulting from, ostensibly, VMT reductions, is demonstrated using a travel demand model. We're kidding ourselves if we think we can _actually_ hit these targets without serious policy change. The model gives us false hope.<br /><br />The best transportation policy is intuitive - this is what a heavy reliance on models causes us to miss.automobilioushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17148677496775529382noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7350606083613108606.post-87944239362198205302011-12-17T01:55:13.048-08:002011-12-17T01:55:13.048-08:00Long term forecast about Transportation is far mor...Long term forecast about Transportation is far more different from Weather forecast as it is less related to nature. Transportation forecast is more related to economy, government policies and peoples choices than whimsical events of nature.<br /><br />I think an extensive research can be done on William Gray and Phil Klotzbach. <br />Why their past 20 years of eorecasts had no predictive value? What are the flaws behind this failure? <br />After identifying the defect, more effective ways to forecast weather might be revealed.Shammee SJhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07085420556437842662noreply@blogger.com